I've spent a whole lot of time gathering information from multiple sources about humidifying instruments. I have several vintage instruments (we're talking 1890's here) that are pretty delicate. There's a lot of varying opinion out there. the people I'm most inclined to believe are museum curators who often have advanced degrees related to the conservation of vintage instruments and other wooden artifacts, some far more valuable than any of our guitars. I've gotten my hands on publications from these sources and wanted to share what I've found. There's a consensus that 45% is ideal and that 35% to 55% is perfectly fine, as long as there aren't sudden swings of RH within that range.
I'm not trying to disagree with anyone else's recommendations, I'm just sharing the information that I gathered from sources who take these matters very seriously. Interestingly, people often overlook the fact that over-humidifying can also be a problem. Above 65%, mold proliferates and different components taking on moisture at different rates can really fight each other as the humidity climbs. Metal can often rust and glue can be compromised in several ways (swelling, attack by micro-organisms, and heat-plus-humidity can really be disastrous).
Still, dryness is is the real problem. But if your guitar wasn't built on a back porch in the Everglades, keeping it at around 35% doesn't seem to be a huge problem. What is a problem is a hygrometer that reads 35% when the actual RH is like 25%. Unfortunately, that's not a completely uncommon scenario. Even brief forays below 35% aren't cause for panic. Below 30% is definitely not good and below 25% is really, really asking for trouble -- or so I've concluded from the research I've done.
Manufacturers will often give more conservative recommendations because they'd prefer not to have unhappy customers over-drying their guitars and then complaining about problems. It's easier for them to just be able to say, "didn't you follow our recommendations?"
I have a whole-house humidifier and a room humidifier in my music room for the needed boost. It rarely makes an appearance before Christmas, although this year it came out early in December (although it's not really running now and the RH is around 48% in that room).
Just one more comment. You'll see a lot of recommendations for using a plastic bag with water and salt in it as a way of calibrating your hygrometer (assuming its settings can be altered). Problem is, that hygrometer errors aren't linear. So, it could be dead on at the 75% RH that the salt method will produce but could be substantially off (either high or low) down in the 30%-40% range, where you really want to know what's happening. I have acquired three different hygrometers and I compare them to one another. They're never off by more than a percentage point or two. Yes, they could be all wrong but it's pretty unlikely. At least one of them is a "scientific quality" instrument rather than a department store item.
My sources could be wrong, my hygrometers could be inaccurate, and I could be completely off base. I'm not trying to convince anyone that I've discovered some magical, long-forgotten truth. I'm just providing information that people can take or leave as they see fit. I think most of us agree that extreme conditions are bad for guitars. We each have to decide where we want to draw the line. i hope this information helps people do that.